Prediction models of consumer demand neagrigirovannoy - growth model

Dejneka Oleksandr
doctor of Еconomic Sciences, Professor, Ukrainian Stat University of Railway Transport, E-mail:info@kart.edu.ua

Pozdnyakova Lubov
doctor of Еconomic Sciences, Professor, Ukrainian Stat University of Railway Transport, E-mail:info@kart.edu.ua

Cite this article:

Dejneka O., Pozdnyakova L., (2015) Prediction models of consumer demand neagrigirovannoy - growth model. Ed.: М.D. Baldzhy (ed.-in-ch.) and others [Systema pensiinoho zabezpechennia Ukrainy ta yevrointehratsiini protsesy; za red.: М. D. Baldzhy (gol. red.)], Scientific Bulletin of the Odessa National Economic University (ISSN 2313-4569), Odessa National Economics University, Odessa, No. 6(226), pp. 89-101.

Abstract

At prognostication of economic intercommunications it is expedient to use the synthesis of intuitional and formalizing analysis and prognosis are base onexpert estimations. Their role is great on the final stage of a stimation possible variants of development economic in tracommunications and choice of the most reliable variant of prognosis. Depending on character of present data and required results the next methods of expert estimations can be used: analytical method, method of “Commissions”, “Delfy”, “Conferences”. Their application supposes making of new ideas and going near the decision of the put tasks in forming of suppositions and hypotheses in relation to development of internal economic connections. It should be noted that there are difficulties at mathematical description of process development of international economic connections. It is related economic in tracommunications are the difficult system, on development of that the enormous number of associate factors of economic and socio-political character has influence: amount and quality of labor resources; presence of fuel and energy and raw material resources, production capacities and investments; scientific of technical and raw material resources, production capacities and investments; scientific and technical potential; pattern of pertaining to national economy requirements; degree og development of international division of labor; state of foreign trade markets; level and proportions of costs of worldmarket; correlation of demand and supposition on external markets. At the same time the methods based on the construction economy-mathematical models and use of Computer get distribution in many countries. A most value mathematical methods have directly at constructing of one or another variant of prognosis.

Keywords

prognosis, methods, equations, systems, derivative product.

JEL classification: O29

UD classification: 330.34:519.1

References